DerbyJackpot’s Best Bets of the Weekend for March 7
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Tampa Bay Downs photo courtesy of Eclipse Sportswire
America’s Best Racing and DerbyJackpot team up to provide horseplayers with their best bets of the weekend in a regular feature blog that will run on Fridays.
Each week, one of our crack handicappers - Jose Contreras, Dan Tordjman, Victoria Garofalo or Cory Moelis – will provide at least one “Best Bet” of the weekend, ideal for a win bet.
The post also will include some combination of additional bets for the weekend.
For some posts, our handicappers will try to identify a longshot play of the weekend, a nice opportunity to swing for the fences on a win bet or to take a shot with a show bet.
Our handicappers also will look for strong exacta plays for the weekend or occasionally try to spot a nice opportunity to bet a trifecta or superfecta.
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Saturday, March 7
Best Bet (Win Bet/Monkey Bet)
Tampa Bay Downs, Race 3, 1:25 p.m. ET
#9 Unspoken Rule (8-1 odds): I like that she is cutting back in distance and returning to a sprint. Although she finished a dull fifth last time out, she has an encouraging workout since that effort and might be able to get the lead against this field without a clear speed runner.
Best Bet (Win Bet/Monkey Bet)
Tampa Bay Downs, Race 10, Hillsborough Stakes, 4:53 p.m. ET
#9 Filimbi (5-2 odds): She comes off a strong win in the Goldikova Stakes at Santa Anita Park. The only question is if she will fire a big effort off the layoff since November. I think she will, and I expect her odds to be higher than the morning line given the layoff and some of her competition. Ball Dancing should get some play given her past two efforts at this distance against top competition. The morning-line favorite, Stephanie’s Kitten, has faced nothing but Grade 1 company in her last eight starts, and Sparkling Review is undefeated on the turf in four starts including back-to-back graded stakes wins. I think all three of those will get bet and hopefully we get a higher price than the morning line on Filimbi.
Best Bet (Win Bet/Monkey Bet)
Santa Anita Park, Race 5, 5 p.m. ET
#10 Pulling G’s (7-2 odds): His last two efforts have been better than they appear on paper, given his slow starts and the ground he’s made up. The switch of riders might lead him to break more sharply. Although he’s shown he can win on the lead, this race might set up great for him given the speed of runners like Chasintheaces, Kill Shot, May B, and I B Mike.
Best Bet (Win Bet/Monkey Bet)
Santa Anita Park, Race 7, San Felipe Stakes, 6 p.m. ET
#6 Prospect Park (4-1 odds): He looked absolutely impressive in his last win when drawing away to an easy win. He looks to have improved with experience and there is a chance we have not seen the best of him yet. I think his tactical speed will have him in a great spot throughout. We might get better than the 4-1 odds on the morning line because of his competition. The undefeated Dortmund will be heavily favored, and I also expect the undefeated Ocho Ocho Ocho to get plenty of support. In addition, multiple stakes winner Lord Nelson will have his share of support, too, given his recent win in the Grade 2 San Vicente Stakes and let’s not forget about the recent stakes winner Bolo, who is coming into this race with as much buzz as any of the previously mentioned runners. I’m looking for Prospect Park to be the fifth betting choice after those four.