Ballydoyle Battalion Lines Up for Queen's Vase

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Photo: Patrick McCann/Racing Post
Wordsworth wins a maiden race at the Curragh

Since the distance of the Queen's Vase (G2) was reduced to one mile and six furlongs in 2017 it has become a springboard to group 1 glory. Stradivarius  won the first running over the new trip, subsequent William Hill St. Leger scorer Kew Gardens  was the 2018 winner, and last year's hero Santiago  won the Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby (G1).

Aidan O'Brien and Ryan Moore teamed up for the last two and, since Moore took over as stable jockey for Ballydoyle at the start of 2015, the pair have won three of the six runnings. That's only a £6.16 profit to £1 level stakes, but the return on investment is 102.67%.

It's obviously a very small sample, but those figures suggest it is around even money they will strike with Wordsworth , a brother to Kew Gardens.

This race hasn't been a complete lockout for Moore on O'Brien-trained runners, though. He was on the wrong one in 2016 behind Sword Fighter , who was ridden by Colm O'Donoghue, so it would be a mistake to write off the other two Ballydoyle representatives Kyprios and Arturo Toscanini .

Kyprios is a fascinating contender. He was beaten a long way in first-time cheekpieces in the Novibet Derby Trial at Lingfield last time, but O'Brien's runners don't always take to the sheepskin and the trainer is just 3-60 with runners wearing that aid for the first time since the start of 2016.

O'Brien has now discarded the cheekpieces and his record when he removes them from horses who wore them for the first time on their previous start is more encouraging. 

"Wordsworth ran very well when just beaten by Sir Lucan  at Navan. The ground was a little bit on the slow side for Kyprios at Lingfield last time over just short of a mile and a half. We always felt he would stay a bit further," O'Brien said. "Arturo Toscanini hasn't run over further than a mile and a quarter but is another who we think could handle going up in distance. We were very happy with his last run."

Kyprios and Seamie Heffernan wins the Blackwater Race<br><br />
Cork Racecourse.<br><br />
23.04.2021
Photo: Patrick McCann/Racing Post
Kyprios wins the Blackwater Race at Cork Racecourse

Since the start of 2016, O'Brien has saddled 11 winners from 47 such runners and that's a 23% strike-rate. A £1 bet on all of those representatives would have yielded a profit of £21.78.

Mark Johnston has won this race seven times but it is seven years since his last success with Hartnell  in 2014 and he has saddled nine losers since then. He is represented by Dancing King and Golden Flame, who come into this having won six in a row between them.

A dry forecast and the likelihood of genuine quick ground should be ideal for Dancing King, who has won his last two starts on good to firm going and is bred to excel on fast conditions. His sire Free Eagle  has a 19% strike-rate with his progeny on ground officially described as good to firm and that is 5% better than on any other going.

The green and gold of J. P. McManus is a more familiar sight at the Cheltenham Festival than at Royal Ascot and Benaud is a rare Royal Ascot runner for the leading owner. 

Trainer Joseph O'Brien teams up with Colin Keane for only the second time and has enjoyed plenty of success with stayers in his short career with two Melbourne Cups (G1) and a St. Leger.

John Gosden also excels with stayers and has a 29% strike-rate in flat races over further than a mile and five furlongs since the start of 2016. Gosden saddled Stradivarius to win this in 2017 and he and son Thady are triple-handed this time with Stowell, Law of The Sea, and Pied Piper

Gosdens Take Aim at Queen's Vase King

John and Thady Gosden are pulling out all the stops as they attempt to wrestle control of the Queen's Vase away from eight-time winner Aidan O'Brien. 

John Gosden (R) and his assistant Thady Gosden watch Lord North win the Group 1 Prince Of Wales’s Stakes<br><br />
Ascot 17.6.20
Photo: Edward Whitaker/Racing Post
John (right) and Thady Gosden

Gosden first won the group 2 in 1992 with Landowner but had to wait another 25 years to register his second success with superstar Stradivarius in 2017. 

Gosden, now training in joint partnership with his son, saddles three, headed by the unexposed Stowell who won on his second start last time. The son of Zoffany  is second only to Wordsworth in the market but faces a big step up in class. 

Thady Gosden said: "Stowell won his second start well enough over a mile and four at Ascot last time and has come for it at home since but obviously lacks experience."

The stable's second string Law of The Sea disappointed in the Chester Vase (G3) last time but connections are confident a step up in trip will see him in a better light here.

"He's not short on experience but didn't enjoy going around Chester too much last time as he's a big horse," Gosden said. "He's come out of that well and I'd be surprised if he didn't stay the trip."

Pied Piper is one of the outsiders and Gosden added: "He ran well to be third over this trip at Sandown last time where the ground was testing and he deserves to take his chance."