Predicteform.com’s Upset Watch: Florida Derby

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Materiality (above after winning the Islamorada Handicap) looks poised for a breakout performance in the Florida Derby. (Photo by Leslie Martin/Gulfstream Park)
Two for two lifetime, Materiality is the most lightly raced runner in the $1-million Florida Derby on Saturday at Gulfstream Park with just two starts.
He’s raced twice at Gulfstream Park and won easily in each by a combined margin of ten lengths, showing a stalking style.
His dam (mother), Wildwood Flower, produced a couple of average racehorses before his half-sister (same dam, different sire [father]) My Miss Sophia hit the track. My Miss Sophia ran second in the Kentucky Oaks at 1 1/8 miles (running an 80 final Predicteform ​figure!) behind Untapable, and earned more than $400,000 in her short racing career.
If quality siblings come in pairs, then Materiality has plenty of upside to improve.
$1-million, Grade 1 Besilu Stables Florida DerbySaturday, Gulfstream Park, Race 14, 6:48 p.m. ET1 1/8 miles, dirt, 3-year-olds

PP

Horse

Jockey

Trainer

Owner

Morning Line

1

Ami's Flatter

Javier Castellano

Josie Carroll

Ivan Dalos

8-1

2

Jack Tripp

Irad Ortiz, Jr.

Dale Romans

Robert J. Baron

20-1

3

Indianaughty

Corey J. Lanerie

Dale Romans

Team Valor International

20-1

4

Itsaknockout

Luis Saez

Todd Pletcher

Starlight Racing

2-1

5

Quimet

Edgard J. Zayas

Nick Zito

Lucky Shamrock Stable

20-1

6

My Point Exactly

Juan C. Leyva

Bill Kaplan

Pinnacle Racing Stables, R. Norman, R. Justice and J. Hendricks

30-1

7

Materiality

John R. Velazquez

Todd Pletcher

Alto Racing

7-2

8

Dekabrist

Jesus M. Rios

Gennadi Dorochenko

Raut LLC

30-1

9

Upstart

Jose L. Ortiz

Rick Violette

Ralph M. Evans

8-5