Los Ponies Longshots for Jan. 16-17
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Welcome to Los Ponies Longshots! Each week, America’s Best Racing’s Southern California correspondent Jose Contreras – Los Ponies to those who follow him on Twitter – will provide three longshots at 8-to-1 odds or better on the morning line that he identifies as strong value bets. Contreras also will map out a betting strategy for how to play his selections and keep track of his return on investment (ROI).
Stop back each week if you love a longshot!
Saturday, Jan. 16, Race 6, Santa Anita, 6 p.m. ET
#4 Lookin for Money (12-1): She finished last in a field of 12 when she was last seen in November at Del Mar. That was a disappointing effort, but it looks like they gave her some time off and she returns to the same level of her most recent win. She’s only making her second start for this barn and Hall of Fame rider Mike Smith takes the call.
Strategy on $10 Budget
$1 exacta: 4 with 1,2,3,7,9 ($5)
$1 exacta: 1,2,3,7,9 with 4 ($5)
Strategy on $25 Budget
$10 win-place: Lookin for Money ($20)
$1 exacta: 4 with 1,2,3,7,9 ($5)
Strategy on $50 Budget
$1 trifecta: 4 with 1,2,3,7,9 with 1,2,3,7,9 ($20)
$1 trifecta: 1,2,3,7,9 with 4 with 1,2,3,7,9 ($20)
$10 win on Lookin for Money ($10)
Sunday, Jan. 17, Race 5, Santa Anita, 5:30 p.m. ET
#3 Seattle Salt (8-1): This is her first race back since March of last year and she posted a fast workout in preparation for this. I like the return to 5 ½ furlongs on the dirt, given that she’s shown good early speed in her previous efforts. She is a female facing males, so that will definitely help the odds given that we don’t see this too often. I think she has a good chance of stealing this race on the front end.
Strategy on $10 Budget
$1 exacta: 3 with 1,2,4,5,7 ($5)
$1 exacta: 1,2,4,5,7 with 3 ($5)
Strategy on $25 Budget
$10 win-place on Seattle Salt ($20)
$1 exacta: 3 with 1,2,4,5,7 ($5)
Strategy on $50 Budget
$1 trifecta: 3 with 1,2,4,5,7 with 1,2,4,5,7 ($20)
$1 trifecta: 1,2,4,5,7 with 3 with 1,2,4,5,7 ($20)
$10 win on Seattle Salt ($10)
ROI Year to date: $255 wagered/$0 returned