Los Ponies Longshots for March 26-27
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Welcome to Los Ponies Longshots! Each week, America’s Best Racing’s Southern California correspondent Jose Contreras – Los Ponies to those who follow him on Twitter – will provide two or three longshots at 5-to-1 odds or better on the morning line that he identifies as strong value bets. Contreras also will map out a betting strategy for how to play his selections and keep track of his return on investment (ROI).
Stop back each week if you love a longshot!
Saturday, Race 10, Santa Anita Park, 8:10 p.m. ET
#10 Pazmeifucan (5-1): He was part of a duel at a decent pace last time out before tiring late in the final yards. That was at a level twice higher than this group and now he returns to sprint distance while only making his second start for this barn. He’s got enough speed to sit a tracking trip behind a few of these and I think he will be making a good move coming into the stretch.
Strategy on $10 Budget
$1 exacta: 10 with 1,4,5,6,8 ($5)
$1 exacta: 1,4,5,6,8 with 10 ($5)
Strategy on $25 Budget
$10 win-place on Pazmeifucan ($20)
$1 exacta: 10 with 1,4,5,6,8 ($5)
Strategy on $50 Budget
$1 trifecta: 10 with 1,4,5,6,8 with 1,4,5,6,8 ($20)
$1 trifecta: 1,4,5,6,8 with 10 with 1,4,5,6,8 ($20)
$10 win on Pazmeifucan ($10)
Sunday, Race 4, Santa Anita Park, 5 p.m. ET
#4 Belle Et Bete (8-1): She ran too good to lose last time out when closing from the back of the pack and maneuvering through the rail to just miss by a head. She was claimed by a barn that once was a very high percentage outfit with a first-off-the-claim angle. I like that this field is smaller than she faced last time and hopefully that translates to a clear path once she makes her move.
Strategy on $10 Budget
$1 exacta: 4 with 1,2,3,5,6 ($5)
$1 exacta: 1,2,3,5,6 with 4 ($5)
Strategy on $25 Budget
$10 win-place on Belle Et Bete ($20)
$1 exacta: 4 with 1,2,3,5,6 ($5)
Strategy on $50 Budget
$1 trifecta: 4 with 1,2,3,5,6 with 1,2,3,5,6 ($20)
$1 trifecta: 1,2,3,5,6 with 4 with 1,2,3,5,6 ($20)
$10 win on Belle Et Bete ($10)
ROI Year to date: $1870 wagered/$212.10 returned