Determining Whether a Longshot is Worth a Gamble
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For the most part, longshots are coming off poor efforts, and yet, some of these horses manage to rebound from that weak race and turn in a dramatically better performance that lands them in the winner’s circle.
The key part of this process is deciding which bad races are telling and indicative of another dismal showing, and which are simply glitches.
There’s no 100 percent foolproof system, but there are times when there are plausible reasons for a bad race.