More times than not, first-time starters lose in their career debut.
That’s not a startling statement.
Yet what should stand out to handicappers is what happened in that initial race and what it means in terms of the horse’s second start.
When a horse runs a solid race in its debut and finishes second, it’s rather obvious that the horse will attract a lot of attention at the betting windows when it returns to the races.
Yet the better payoffs come from finding subtle signs of optimism in that initial losing start.
As an example, there’s Chess Master.